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Hit rate per jury: track how often it was right.

The hit rate shows how often the 99takes jury favored the version that went on to win in the market. To get it, you report the result after launch. 99takes publishes it per jury only once there are ten decidable results, always with the count and a range.

Start free Reporting results and checking the rate are free. 350 credits to start, valid for 30 days, no payment details needed.
Claude · 99takes connected
Headline B ran for three weeks: 41 demo requests from 2,300 visits. A got 22 from 2,250.
report_outcomerun from September 12: B wins in the marketno credits
Reported, and the result counts. The jury had B ahead, so the prediction held.
How often has the jury been right for us so far?
report_outcomeno run given: the jury’s hit rateno credits

Hit rate

not measured yet7 decidable results, published at 10
Not counted: undecided runs, markets without a clear winner and gaps within the noise.
Until then, every verdict is a prediction, not a measured fact. Report three more results and you’ll see a rate with a range here.
Example with made-up data
What you can ask

Four questions after launch.

Report a market result

no credits

Which version did better in the market, with the raw numbers for each version and their source, such as clicks and impressions from Google Ads or conversions from GA4. You can also do this in your account under “Runs”. Only comparisons of two versions can be reported.

“B did better than A on demo requests.”

See the hit rate

no credits

Per jury, with the number of results and a range. It’s published once there are ten decidable results; until then it says “not measured yet”.

“How often was the jury right?”

Refine the audience

no credits

If the jury is off, refine individual personas; the rest stay unchanged.

“The head of IT is too harsh. Refine that persona.”

Share the result

no credits

A report with its own link, for your team or your client. You can revoke links, and on Pro and above you can limit a report to invited readers.

“Turn this run into a report.”
Honest even with little data

Only decidable results count.

A simulation is a prediction. The market shows whether it holds up, and that takes reported results. Until there are enough, 99takes says so instead of showing a number.

CountedNot counted
Runs with a clear winner and a reported market resultUndecided runs
Results for the exact jury that made the callMarkets without a clear winner
Number of results and range, always shownMarket gaps within the noise, such as 3.1% vs. 3.0% click-through rate on 200 impressions
Next

Your next run builds on what you learned.

The hit rate belongs to your account and to the exact jury that made the call. Why a simulation comes before an A/B test rather than replacing it: alternative to A/B tests.

FAQ

Questions about the hit rate

When is a result decidable?

When the run had a clear winner and so did the market, with a gap larger than the noise. Only then can the jury be right or wrong. Everything else is stored but not counted, along with the reason.

When do I get a rate?

Once a jury has ten decidable results. Until then it says “not measured yet”, even if the first verdicts were right: four out of five would be 80%, but with so few cases that means nothing.

Which numbers should I report?

A count and a base for each version, with their source. For ads, clicks and impressions from Google Ads, Meta or LinkedIn; for landing pages, conversions and sessions from GA4 or your A/B testing tool; for emails, clicks or opens and recipients. That’s the only way to check whether the market gap was more than noise.

What does reporting cost?

Nothing. Reporting a result, checking the rate and refining your audience are all free.

Test your next copy and report what the market says.

Start free 350 credits to start, valid for 30 days, no payment details needed