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Hit rate per jury: count how often it was right.

The hit rate shows how often the 99takes jury had the version ahead that then won in the market. For that, you report the result after launch. 99takes only publishes it per jury from ten decidable results, always with their number and a range.

Start free Reporting and looking up the rate cost no credits. 350 credits to start, valid for 30 days, no payment details.
Claude · 99takes connected
Headline B ran for three weeks: 41 demo requests from 2,300 visits, A had 22 from 2,250.
report_outcomerun of 12 September: B wins in the marketno credits
Reported, and the result counts. The jury had B ahead, so the prediction holds.
How often has the jury been right for us?
report_outcomewithout a run: hit rate of the juryno credits

Hit rate

not measured yet7 decidable results, published from 10
Not counted: undecided runs, undecided markets and gaps within the noise.
Until then every verdict is a prediction, not a measured truth. Report three more results and a rate with a range appears here.
Example with made-up data
What you can ask

Four questions after launch.

Report a market result

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Which version did better in the market, with the raw numbers per version and their source, such as clicks and impressions from Google Ads or conversions from GA4. Also possible in your account under “Runs”. Only a comparison of two versions can be reported.

“B did better than A on demo requests.”

See the hit rate

no credits

Per jury, with the number of results and a range. Published from ten decidable results; before that it says “not measured yet”.

“How often was the jury right?”

Refine the audience

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If the jury is off, refine single personas; the others stay stable.

“Head of IT judges too harshly. Refine that persona.”

Share the result

no credits

A report with its own link, for your team or client. Links can be withdrawn, and from the Pro plan a report can be limited to invited readers.

“Turn this run into a report.”
Honest with little data too

Only what can be decided is counted.

A simulation is a prediction. Whether it holds is shown by the market, and that takes reported results. Until there are enough of them, 99takes says so instead of showing a number.

CountedNot counted
Runs with a clear winner and a reported market resultUndecided runs
Results of exactly the jury that judgedMarkets without a clear winner
Number of results and range, always shownMarket gaps within the noise, such as 3.1 % against 3.0 % click rate on 200 impressions
Next

The next run starts from what you learned.

The hit rate belongs to your account and to exactly the jury that judged. Why a simulation comes before an A/B test, not instead of one: alternative to A/B tests.

Questions

Questions about the hit rate

When is a result decidable?

When the run had a clear winner and the market did too, with a gap larger than the noise. Only then can the jury have been right or wrong. Everything else is stored but not counted, and the reason is stated.

When is there a rate?

From ten decidable results per jury. Before that it says “not measured yet”, even if the first verdicts were right: four out of five would be 80 %, but with so few cases it means nothing.

Which numbers should I report?

A count and a base per version, with their source. For ads, clicks and impressions from Google Ads, Meta or LinkedIn; for landing pages, conversions and sessions from GA4 or your A/B tool; for emails, clicks or opens and recipients. Only then can it be checked whether the market gap was more than noise.

What does reporting cost?

Nothing. Reporting a result, looking up the rate and refining the audience cost no credits.

Check your next copy and report what the market says.

Start free 350 credits to start, valid for 30 days, no payment details